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L-3 Shares Rally Despite Succession Uncertainty

June 7, 2006 Chad Brand, Peridot Capital Management LLC
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"L-3 Shares Climb After CEO Death" - API can't make this stuff up. That is the headline of an Associated Press story talking about the $5 jump today in shares of L-3 Communications (LLL), a large defense contractor. L-3 has been a small Peridot Capital holding for several years. I wrote back in November that a sell-off from $85 to $74 was overdone. The stock subsequently hit a new all-time high of more than $88 per share.

L-3's CEO Frank Lanza, 74, passed away suddenly yesterday and when I saw the headline this morning, I figured we would see some selling pressure today. Lanza co-founded and led L-3 on an acquisition spree that built the company into a $12 billion a year defense giant. Given Lanza's age and lack of a solid succession plan in place, many investors have been wondering what would happen if Lanza left, or worse, passed away.

Such uncertainty usually breeds fear on Wall Street. Not so today, however, as the stock is rocketing ahead by 7 percent. L-3 itself has been rumored to be an acquisition target, and with no clear leadership in place right now, investors seem to think one possible succession plan will be to sell the company. I'd put the odds at no better than 50/50 that such a scenario materializes.

In energy and industrials
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Peridot Capital Management LLC is a registered investment advisor in the states of Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Washington. The firm may not transact business in states where it is not registered or exempted from registration. In most states, the firm is exempt from registration if it has fewer than six clients who are residents of that state. As a result, Peridot Capital Management LLC is free to provide services to residents of every state and applies for registration as required. Individualized responses to persons that involve either the effecting of transactions in securities, or the rendering of personalized investment advice for compensation, will not be made without registration or exemption.

The content published on our blog represents the opinions of Mr. Brand and he and/or his clients may hold positions in securities discussed. Such positions will be disclosed at the time of publication, although subsequent changes to those positions will be made without notification. The information contained in blog posts is believed to be accurate when published, however, mistakes could be made. As a result, do not rely on the content exclusively for your investment due diligence. The commentaries published do not constitute investment advice, as readers’ personal investment goals and risk tolerances will dictate which investments are appropriate for them. Our blog is meant to be one of many sources for readers to conduct their own research into specific investments. Consult an investment professional before acting solely on information found on this site. If you do not have an investment professional to work with, you may contact Peridot Capital Management LLC directly.